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INTRODUCTION 3
1 THEORETICAL BASES OF THE RESEARCH PROBLEM 6
1.1. Key Concepts and Terms: Historical Review and Modern Approaches 6
1.2. Feasibility Studies: Major Papers and Review of Authors' Contributions 10
2 EMPIRICAL STUDIES IN THE FIELD OF RESEARCH 15
2.1. Decision-Making Practices in Organizations Undergoing Change 15
2.2. Innovation Management in Practice: Empirical Evidence 18
3 PROJECT PROPOSAL: DEVELOPMENT AGENDA / ROADMAP 24
3.1. Goals and Outcomes 24
3.2. Steps to Be Taken 25
3.3. Efficiency and Prospects 29
CONCLUSION 32
REFERENCES 35
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Herbert A. Simon's contributions to the theory of organizational decision-making are foundational and irreplaceable. His concept of bounded rationality, first articulated in Administrative Behavior (1947) and further developed across decades of subsequent scholarship, challenged the prevailing assumption that managers function as fully rational, utility-maximizing actors. Simon demonstrated that real-world decision-makers operate within three irreducible constraints: limited availability of information, finite cognitive processing capacity, and time pressure that forecloses exhaustive deliberation. In response to these constraints, decision-makers adopt a strategy of satisficing — selecting the first alternative that meets a minimally acceptable standard rather than pursuing the optimal solution.
The relevance of Simon's model in contemporary management is thoroughly documented. In environments characterized by digital information overload, rapid market change, and organizational complexity, the cognitive limits that Simon identified are not diminished but amplified. Modern research building on Simon's legacy has integrated bounded rationality with insights from artificial intelligence, neuroscience, and behavioral economics, producing richer and more nuanced models of organizational decision-making. Schwarz (2022) notes that the concepts of bounded rationality and satisficing remain central reference points for contemporary decision science precisely because they describe the structural realities of human cognition in organizational contexts [5]. For managers navigating change and innovation, Simon's framework implies that effective decision-making is not about achieving theoretical optimality but about designing organizational conditions — information systems, routines, heuristics, and collaborative processes — that enable sufficiently good decisions to be made under realistic constraints.
Peter Drucker occupies a singular position in the development of modern management theory. Across an extensive body of work spanning several decades, Drucker consistently argued that the primary task of management is not to maintain existing systems but to create value through purposeful innovation and strategic change. In Innovation and Entrepreneurship (1985), Drucker articulated innovation as a systematic managerial discipline — one that could be taught, learned, and institutionalized.
Drucker further argued that effective managers must simultaneously manage the present and create the future — a duality that places particular demands on decision-making capacity. His concept of management by objectives (MBO) recognized that decision-making must be aligned with strategic intent, and that managers at all levels require clarity about organizational goals in order to make coherent and coordinated decisions. Drucker's work has retained considerable influence in contemporary management scholarship; his insistence on treating innovation as a core managerial responsibility anticipated much of the subsequent literature on knowledge management, organizational learning, and strategic leadership.
Clayton Christensen's theory of disruptive innovation, introduced in The Innovator's Dilemma (1997), constitutes one of the most influential and widely debated contributions to innovation management in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Christensen observed that established companies with strong track records of success frequently failed not because of managerial incompetence but because they responded rationally to their existing customers and financial incentives — a pattern he termed the innovator's dilemma [6]. In doing so, they consistently overlooked the disruptive potential of emerging technologies and business models that initially addressed marginal or non-consuming markets.
Christensen's framework specifies four conditions that define disruptive innovation: it locks customers in through a novel value proposition, typically operates at lower gross margins, does not conform to the traditional performance trajectories valued by mainstream consumers, and introduces new performance parameters that eventually surpass those of incumbent products. A comprehensive literature review by Si et al. (2020), published in Research Policy, confirms that despite ongoing scholarly debate about the theory's definitional precision and predictive scope, disruptive innovation remains a cornerstone of entrepreneurship and innovation studies with substantial practical implications.
John Kotter's contribution to change management theory lies in his systematic articulation of the leadership behaviors required to drive and sustain organizational transformation. His eight-step model, grounded in extensive empirical observation of organizational change initiatives, shifted the intellectual focus of change management from structural and procedural concerns toward leadership, communication, and culture (pic. 2). A critical academic review of Kotter's framework (2024) identifies its structured approach and strategic clarity as enduring strengths, noting that the model's sequential logic helps organizations in large, hierarchical environments maintain directional coherence during complex transformations. The same review highlights that Kotter's positioning of leadership — rather than managerial control — as the primary driver of change represented a significant theoretical advance that continues to inform both academic research and organizational practice.
At the same time, scholars have noted that Kotter's model was designed for relatively large, structured environments and may require adaptation when applied in agile or decentralized organizational settings. Empirical applications of the model in healthcare and educational institutions, reviewed in recent research, demonstrate that its core logic — creating urgency, building coalitions, achieving early wins — retains validity across diverse sectors, though the pace and sequencing of steps may need to be adjusted to reflect specific organizational contexts.
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1. Simon, H. A. Administrative Behavior: A Study of Decision-Making Processes in Administrative Organizations. — 4th ed. — New York : Free Press, 1997. — 384 p.
2. Lewin, K. Frontiers in group dynamics: Concept, method and reality in social science; social equilibria and social change // Human Relations. — 1947. — Vol. 1, No. 1. — P. 5–41.
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4. Drucker, P. F. Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Practice and Principles. — New York : Harper & Row, 1985. — 277 p.
5. Christensen, C. M. The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail. — Boston : Harvard Business School Press, 1997. — 225 p.
6. Kahneman, D. Thinking, Fast and Slow. — New York : Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011. — 499 p.
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8. Cameron, E., Green, M. Making Sense of Change Management: A Complete Guide to the Models, Tools and Techniques of Organizational Change. — 5th ed. — London : Kogan Page, 2019. — 480 p.
9. Tidd, J., Bessant, J. Managing Innovation: Integrating Technological, Market and Organizational Change. — 6th ed. — Hoboken : Wiley, 2018. — 640 p.
10. Khan, M. A., Ismail, F. B., Hussain, A., Alghazali, B. The interplay of leadership styles, innovative work behavior, organizational culture, and organizational citizenship behavior // SAGE Open. — 2020. — Vol. 10, No. 1. — P. 1–12.
11. Fasolo, B., Heard, C., Scopelliti, I. Mitigating cognitive bias to improve organizational decisions: An integrative review, framework, and research agenda // Journal of Management. — 2024. — Vol. 51, No. 1. P. 5–41.
12. Chughtai, M. S. [et al.]. Role of adaptive leadership in learning organizations to boost innovative work behavior through knowledge sharing // Frontiers in Psychology. — 2023. — Vol. 14. — P. 163–176.
13. Mainga, W. [et al.]. An analytical review of John Kotter's change leadership framework: A modern approach to sustainable organizational transformation // SSRN Electronic Journal. — 2024. — P. 243–259.
14. An empirical study on managerial decision-making styles across organizational levels // International Journal of Engineering, Procurement and Production Management. — 2024. — Vol. 14, No. 2. — P. 45–58. — URL: https://ijeponline.com/index.php/journal/article/download/1059/927/937 (дата обращения: 18.03.2026).
15. How Decision Making Frameworks Facilitate Change Management // FasterCapital. — 2024. — URL: https://fastercapital.com/articles/How-Decision-Making-Frameworks-Facilitate-Change-Management.html (дата обращения: 18.03.2026).